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Macro by Mark

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Overview

OverviewThe flagship learning arc.ConceptsCore measures, terms, and mechanisms.PolicyFiscal, monetary, and transmission routes.

Debate and context

SchoolsCompeting macro traditions.CompareLine up schools and assumptions.HistoryHow the field evolved.

Work with it

ModelsEmpirical, structural, and theoretical routes.GlossaryFast definitions while you learn.
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Macro by Mark
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Overview
OverviewThe flagship learning arc.ConceptsCore measures, terms, and mechanisms.PolicyFiscal, monetary, and transmission routes.
Debate and context
SchoolsCompeting macro traditions.CompareLine up schools and assumptions.HistoryHow the field evolved.
Work with it
ModelsEmpirical, structural, and theoretical routes.GlossaryFast definitions while you learn.
News
Calendar
Tracked categories
All libraryThe full tracked working set.GrowthOpen this indicator lane.Prices & InflationOpen this indicator lane.Labor MarketOpen this indicator lane.Monetary & Financial ConditionsOpen this indicator lane.Nowcasting & Leading IndicatorsOpen this indicator lane.
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Compare

Compare Schools and Models

Read the disagreement side by side, move through debate packs, and line those arguments up against the model routes they tend to trust.

Help

Macro map

OverviewConceptsPolicySchoolsCompareHistoryModels

Paths

Debate packsSchool pagesQuestion-first models

Explanations first, model routes second

Debate packs

Read the disagreement side by side, then open the model routes it leans on.

Concepts tell you what moved. This workspace is for the next question: why different macro traditions read the same move differently, which policy instincts follow from those readings, and which model routes they reach for once the argument becomes operational.

Active preset: Inflation debate

Set the question first. Keep the rows side by side after that.

Active pack

Inflation debate keeps the school rows, scenario lens, and model families aligned so you can change the comparison without rebuilding the page state by hand.

Skip to models

Schools

Compare the explanations first.

Active preset: Inflation debate. Pick up to three schools at once and keep the same debate rows visible all the way down the page.

Selected: 3 of 3

Mainstream

Heterodox

Other schools in theory

What causes recessions?

Monetarist

Open

Often reflect monetary tightening, unstable money growth, or policy mistakes.

Monetary policy

New Keynesian

Open

Can arise when demand weakens and rigid prices or wages slow adjustment.

Monetary policy

Modern Heterogeneous-Agent Macro

Open

Become more severe when constrained households and fragile balance sheets cut spending quickly.

Monetary policyFiscal policyFinancial stability

What causes inflation?

Monetarist

Open

Sustained inflation ultimately requires excessive money growth or permissive monetary policy.

Monetary policy

New Keynesian

Open

Moves through expectations, marginal costs, and sticky nominal adjustment.

Monetary policy

Modern Heterogeneous-Agent Macro

Open

Transmission differs across households, sectors, rents, wages, and financing positions.

Monetary policyFiscal policyFinancial stability

Do markets self-correct?

Monetarist

Open

Better when policy keeps nominal anchors stable.

Monetary policy

New Keynesian

Open

Partial and slow because rigidities create short-run non-neutrality.

Monetary policy

Modern Heterogeneous-Agent Macro

Open

Uneven because balance-sheet damage and constraints make recovery asymmetric.

Monetary policyFiscal policyFinancial stability

When does policy work?

Monetarist

Open

Best through credible monetary rules rather than discretionary activism.

Monetary policy

New Keynesian

Open

Yes, especially through credible rate policy and expectations management.

Monetary policy

Modern Heterogeneous-Agent Macro

Open

Yes, but only when it reaches the agents and channels that actually move spending.

Monetary policyFiscal policyFinancial stability

What models get used?

Monetarist

Open

Quantity-theory logic, expectations-augmented inflation blocks.

Taylor rulePhillips curve

New Keynesian

Open

New Keynesian models, DSGE, Phillips-curve blocks.

New Keynesian DSGEAD-AS / Phillips intuition

Modern Heterogeneous-Agent Macro

Open

HANK, heterogeneous-agent, and balance-sheet-sensitive models.

HANK-liteTANK
Need the broader map first?Back to schools

Policy handoff

Move from competing diagnoses into the policy lanes they point toward.

Monetary policyFiscal policyFinancial stability

Scenarios

Keep one macro setup fixed and watch the diagnoses change.

Prices accelerate sharply over a short period.

Inflation spike

Monetarist

Start with whether money and nominal demand were allowed to outpace real capacity.

Monetary policy

New Keynesian

Ask how expectations, costs, and demand pressure interact through sticky-price adjustment.

Monetary policy

Modern Heterogeneous-Agent Macro

Look at who faces the price shock, who has buffers, and how expectations differ across households.

Monetary policyFiscal policyFinancial stability

Models

Then open the model routes those explanations usually lean on.

School disagreements do not map one-for-one onto model routes, but they do push you toward different tools: teaching-scale theory, empirical workflows, structural policy systems, or heterogeneous simulation.

Selected: 3 of 3

Best For

Theory-Based Models

Open

Mechanism explanation

Data-Driven Models

Open

Data-driven forecasts

Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium

Open

Policy counterfactuals

Inputs

Theory-Based Models

Open

Stylized theory

Data-Driven Models

Open

Observed macro data

Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium

Open

Equations and rules

Speed

Theory-Based Models

Open

Fastest

Data-Driven Models

Open

Fast

Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium

Open

Slower to build

Dashboard Fit

Theory-Based Models

Open

Teaching / high

Data-Driven Models

Open

Live monitoring and forecast lab

Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium

Open

Selective, expert use

Strengths

Theory-Based Models

Open

Clarity and intuition

Data-Driven Models

Open

Recency and diagnostics

Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium

Open

Explicit assumptions

Limits

Theory-Based Models

Open

Not production forecast

Data-Driven Models

Open

Limited structural why

Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium

Open

Complex and misspecification risk

Best Context

Theory-Based Models

Open

Quick first-pass

Data-Driven Models

Open

What does the data imply next?

Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium

Open

Transmission analysis

Sources & References
  • Snowdon, B. and Vane, H. R. Modern Macroeconomics: Its Origins, Development and Current State.
  • Blanchard, O. Macroeconomics. Pearson.
  • Woodford, M. Interest and Prices.
  • Kaplan, G., Moll, B., and Violante, G. Monetary Policy According to HANK.
Macro by Mark

U.S. macro data with release timing, boards, and macro context.

Public U.S. data from agencies and market feeds.

MarkJayson.com

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