Data-Driven Models
Choose the model class first. Class-specific hyperparameters live on the next page.
ARIMA
One-series baseline forecast built from historical persistence and differencing.
VAR
Interacting series with lag structure and stability checks.
BVAR
VAR structure with priors and shrinkage over a compact macro system.
Ridge
Regularized regression for broad feature packs with stable shrinkage.
LASSO
Sparse regression that can zero out weaker predictors.
Ensemble
Combines several empirical models into one scored baseline.
Current specification
Model class
Not set
Series
0
Transforms
Keep levels
Horizon
6 steps