A practical whole-economy platform

A practical whole-economy platform turns empirical forecasting into a guided macroeconometric lab: sector blocks, behavioral equations, accounting identities, exogenous assumptions, and scenario comparison.

All Models Forecasting One Series Interacting Series Economy-wide Release Window State Shifts

Route notes

The platform stays intentionally simplified so the system remains legible at browser scale.

The goal is to connect output, labor, prices, policy, and the external sector in one auditable baseline-and-shock workflow.

Diagnostics matter here at the block level as much as they do at the aggregate level.

Workflow

Data, diagnostics, and forecast output stay inside one route.

Forecasting routes

Stage 1

Map the economy

Sector blocks can cover output and expenditure, labor, prices, policy, financial conditions, fiscal policy, and the external sector.

Stage 2

Assign equations

Each block carries a simplified behavioral relationship so the model remains explainable.

Stage 3

Link identities

National accounting and flow consistency stay visible so the platform behaves like one macro system with connected parts.

Stage 4

Run the baseline

The first pass produces a coherent baseline projection that can be checked against current indicators and known macro conditions.

Stage 5

Apply shocks

Policy changes, commodity shocks, external demand shifts, or financial tightening can be introduced as explicit scenario changes.

Stage 6

Evaluate fit

Identity consistency, block residuals, parameter stability, out-of-sample error, and scenario sensitivity all matter before the baseline deserves trust.