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Theory-Based Models

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Macro by Mark

U.S. macro data with release timing, boards, and macro context.

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Theory-Based Models

Advancedphase path

RBC Simplified

A stripped-down real business cycle setup linking productivity, capital accumulation, and intertemporal return conditions.

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Proof

Read the derivation as a document, with the math typeset directly and the intermediate chains tucked behind expandable steps.

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Setup and notationProduction and capital lawEuler condition and steady returnProductivity and patience shifts

Setup and notation

The simplified RBC route keeps only the real side: production, capital accumulation, and an Euler-style return condition.

y=Akαy = A k^{\alpha}y=Akα
k′=(1−δ)k+ik' = (1 - \delta)k + ik′=(1−δ)k+i

Production and capital law

A productivity shock changes the scale of output today and shifts the desired capital path over time.

MPK=αAkα−1MPK = \alpha A k^{\alpha - 1}MPK=αAkα−1

Euler condition and steady return

In steady state, the marginal return on capital must align with the discount factor once depreciation is accounted for.

1β−1+δ=αAkα−1\frac{1}{\beta} - 1 + \delta = \alpha A k^{\alpha - 1}β1​−1+δ=αAkα−1

Productivity and patience shifts

Higher productivity or greater patience both support a larger steady-state capital stock.

∂k∗∂A>0,∂k∗∂β>0\frac{\partial k^*}{\partial A} > 0, \qquad \frac{\partial k^*}{\partial \beta} > 0∂A∂k∗​>0,∂β∂k∗​>0

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RBC

How does a productivity-driven real economy adjust through capital and consumption?

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