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Theory-Based Models

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Macro by Mark

U.S. macro data with release timing, boards, and macro context.

Public U.S. data from agencies and market feeds.

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Theory-Based Models

Introductoryrule line

Taylor Rule

A policy rule linking the nominal interest rate to inflation and output gaps, giving a compact view of monetary reaction functions.

CatalogOverviewExploreProofCompare

Compare

Compare the live current setup with up to two saved scenarios without breaking the route when the compare tray is still sparse.

Scenario tray

Current scenario

This is always the anchor column for the comparison view.

Save a scenario from the explore route to add more columns here.

Current scenario

Policy rate

4.50

Inflation gap

0.20

Inflation response

1.50

Output-gap response

0.50

Delta table

ReadoutCurrent scenario
Policy rate
4.50
Inflation gap
0.20
Inflation response
1.50
Output-gap response
0.50
Back to exploreOpen proof

Introductory

Taylor Rule

How aggressively should the policy rate react to inflation and output gaps?

policyinflationgoods market
OverviewExploreProofCompare